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Betting tips advisor

Game previews, sports betting tips, sports betting advice and bookmaker reviews.

Month

January 2016

Preview and betting tips: Aston Villa – Leicester City

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After starting out the season in spectacular fashion, Leicester seems to be losing their explosive touch over the last couple of games. The amount of goals they get is getting lower. This is reflected in the amount of shots they get on target in recent games (2 against Spurs, 2 against Bournemouth, 4 against City). This isn’t really surprising considering the fact that they were overperforming all season, I think it is simply time for them now that they drop a few places to get back to the place in the league where they would (quality wise) belong.

Villa’s main problems in my opinion are in their attack and not so much in their defence. Especially when Lescott and Richards play together they look pretty solid and are capable of not having to concede a lot of big chances. Up front, only Carles Gil looks like he could do some danger to opposition’s defence. The rest of their attacking midfielders and attackers simply just seems to be able to do real damage.

Tactically, I expect Villa to sit back and defence against Leicester, they don’t ‘need’ to win this game and therefore I don’t expect them to take risks (like against Sunderland where they then conceded 3). Personally, I think this will be a pretty boring game with a lot of midfield action and not so much chances (and therefore goals). I recommend playing a medium bet (5/10) on Under 2.5 goals @ 13/20 (1.65), offered by a lot of bookmakers currently including William Hill and Bwin.

Preview and betting tips: Manchester City – Crystal Palace

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Both teams are coming from a disappointing result. Manchester City were not able to beat Everton at home while Crystal Palace lost at Villa Park against against Villa, who are at the bottom of the table. A few things are noteworthy in these games though.

Let me start with Manchester City – Everton. City was actually the much better team in that game and should have won. They created much more chances and were quite a bit better passing than Everton. The picture below (by http://www.whoscored.com) shows the shots of both teams in that game. As you can see, City were much more dangerous in in front of goal than Everton.

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Then we move on to Crystal Palace. Palace were playing well at the start of the season and also getting results, but the last couple of games are not as good any more. Especially creating chances is slowly becoming a probelm for them. This could have to do with the absence of both Dwight Gayle and Yannick Bolasie, who are both injured. When we look at their game against Aston Villa and the shots taken (again, picture by http://www.whoscored.com), we see they were only able to get 3 shots in the box in the whole game against one of the poorest defences in the league, which is quite worrisome.

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Important for me to consider in this game as well as that midfield magician David Silva was pretty much rested in the game against Everton (only playing 17 minutes). This means that he will be completely fresh for this game to work his magic and impose his well on the game. Manchester City are used to playing 2 games a week and Crystal Palace not so much. I don’t see City having any problems with beating Palace here and therefore recommend a medium sized bet (5/10) on Manchester City to win @ 2/5 (1.4) which is currently offered by a lot of different bookmakers. including Bwin and William Hill.

Bookmaker review: William Hill

William Hill will be the first in a series of bookmaker reviews in which I will share my experiences with bookmakers as a player. The main criteria on which I will grade bookmakers are their website, their offer and their odds. I will conclude every review with describing the type of costumer I would recommend this bookmaker to and the type of customer that would be better off looking for another bookmaker.

General information

William Hill started as a bookmaker in 1934 and is one of the UK’s biggest bookmakers when it comes to physical betting shops on street corners. It also offers the opportunity to bet by phone and most important for this review: an online bookmaker.  In the past the company has had sponsorship involvement in varvious sporting events, including horse racing, darts and football.

Website

William Hill’s website is quite nice. It navigates quickly, they have no slowly loading components and the search function is good. Getting to the sports event you want will take you 3 clicks maximum which is great. Depositing and withdrawing your money is easy both in terms of doing it on the website and the amount of payment options they offer.

Offered sports and bets

William Hill’s offer is huge. They offer a broad range of different bets for most sports. Especially for darts the amount of bets they offer (live as well) might very well be the biggest on the market. The same goes for the bets they offer on English football (both Premier League and lower leagues). If you like betting on players to score, William Hill will be great for you as they offer all kinds of bets related to this.

A few other sports worth mentioning are basketball (mainly NBA), tennis and NFL. William Hill usually offers a lot of different bets for these sports including unique bets that no other bookmaker offers.

Other sports are covered well, but not exceptionally. They offer a pretty good amount of bets on most other sports, but where they really stand out in my opinion are the sports mentioned previously.

Odds

On big markets (for example Premier League match odds), William Hill has a pay-out percentage of around 94%, which is quite low compared to a lot of competitors. However, the odds on their other, non-match outcome bets, are quite good usually. They offer such a big amount of bets that there will always be nice odds in one of the bets they offer on the match you want to bet on. If you’re willing to take the time to search for a good value bet that is.

Recommendation

Overall, thanks to their huge offer, William Hill is a great bookmaker to play at. Another thing worth mentioning in my opinion is that no one I know ever had problems with them regarding pay-outs or unfair settlement of bets. They’re an honest bookmaker and that’s not something that can be said for all of them.

Overall, I would recommend William Hill if you’d like to bet on a combination of darts, NFL, NBA, tennis and English football. Especially if you want to bet on more than just the outcome of the match and like to spend time on finding that gem of a bet that will bring you profit.

If you like to bet on just the outcome of matches, or want to make accumulators of these outcomes, look further (because of the low pay-out percentage on match odds). If you’re mainly interested in less regular sports (for example motorsports, athletics or wintersports), then I’d also look for another bookmaker than William Hill.

If you have become interested in betting with William Hill, click here (you might need to disable your adblock to see the links) or on the banner below to register and get a 20 GBP freebet for a 10 GBP bet with promocode F20 or F25 to get a 25 GBP freebet for a 25 GBP placed bet.

 

Preview and betting tips: Liverpool – Arsenal

Liverpool are struggling lately. The managerial change didn’t help them a lot as they are still only 8th in the league currently and are rather unimpressing when it comes to the way of play (apart from the game where they destroyed Manchester City). Arsenal are the league leaders currently and are playing well in general (although their games against Newcastle and especially Southampton didn’t look that pretty).

Liverpool currently have to cope with quite some injuries, with Coutinho, Ings, Lovren, Origi and Skrtel all out and Sakho and Touré also not being completely fit. This means that their main two centre backs will be out with injuries, and even the back-ups that will most likely play have problems too. Up front Coutinho will be a huge missing since Firmino has only had one good game so far in the Premier League, against Manchester City.

Arsenal have a lot of their main players slowly coming back into the squad from injuries and this will only strengthen them. They were in the luxury position of being able to rest Mesut Özil in the cup against Sunderland, ensuring he is fresh for this game. Özil is in absolutely phenomenal form last months, creating chance after chance for his teammates and topping the assist rankings by a nice distance.

For me, Arsenal should be clear favorites in this game given the current circumstances. I therefore recommend placing a medium-sized bet on Arsenal to win @ 31/20 (2.55) at Bet365. Should you fancy a bigger gamble, you can try Arsenal to win by at least 2 goals @ 17/4 (5.25) offered by Bwin.


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