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Both teams are coming from a disappointing result. Manchester City were not able to beat Everton at home while Crystal Palace lost at Villa Park against against Villa, who are at the bottom of the table. A few things are noteworthy in these games though.

Let me start with Manchester City – Everton. City was actually the much better team in that game and should have won. They created much more chances and were quite a bit better passing than Everton. The picture below (by http://www.whoscored.com) shows the shots of both teams in that game. As you can see, City were much more dangerous in in front of goal than Everton.

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Then we move on to Crystal Palace. Palace were playing well at the start of the season and also getting results, but the last couple of games are not as good any more. Especially creating chances is slowly becoming a probelm for them. This could have to do with the absence of both Dwight Gayle and Yannick Bolasie, who are both injured. When we look at their game against Aston Villa and the shots taken (again, picture by http://www.whoscored.com), we see they were only able to get 3 shots in the box in the whole game against one of the poorest defences in the league, which is quite worrisome.

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Important for me to consider in this game as well as that midfield magician David Silva was pretty much rested in the game against Everton (only playing 17 minutes). This means that he will be completely fresh for this game to work his magic and impose his well on the game. Manchester City are used to playing 2 games a week and Crystal Palace not so much. I don’t see City having any problems with beating Palace here and therefore recommend a medium sized bet (5/10) on Manchester City to win @ 2/5 (1.4) which is currently offered by a lot of different bookmakers. including Bwin and William Hill.

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