An interesting match up tonight between Gegard Mousasi who is on the way up after his last matches and Chris Weidman who is on the way down after losing the middleweight title (now owned by Michael Bisping) to Luke Rockhold in 2015.

Stylewise, Weidman is a very complete fighter. He is an extremely good wrestler and a very good striker, especially tacticall. We saw this when he knocked out Anderson Silva after watching Silva’s dodges on tape and checking one of Silva’s kicks that won him the second fight between them. Weidman can be seen as a member of the new breed of mixed martial artists who are completely cross trained. His cardio however has been a bit questionable in both the fights against Yoel Romero and Luke Rockhold where he won the first rounds but was stopped later on in both.

Mousasi is more of a specialist. He has an extremely dangerous and skilled striker, having fought in professional kickboxing in Japan and even considered doing olympic boxing for the Netherlands. He is also extremely good on the ground but has one thing that we can consider to be a bit of a weakness: his takedown defence. He has been suspect to takedowns in the past and while he was never really dominated on the ground, some good wrestlers were able to take him there. On top of his skill, Mousasi is very durable and barely ever gets stopped apart from the freak TKO against Uriah Hall.

This fight can go two ways in my opinion. Either Weidman grinds out a decision thanks to his wrestling or Mousasi can get damage going on Weidman and finally stops in late in the match. Therefore I think the following two are the bets to make in this match:

1 unit (1/10) on Mousasi to win in Round 3 @ 15 (14/1) with Betfred
5 units (5/10) on Weidman to win by decision @ 3.25 with Betfred

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