After a not-so-succesful fight at lightweight, Thiago Alves is back at welterweight now and will fight Canadian tough guy Patrick Cote. Iron-chinned Cote was knocked out by Donald Cerrone in his last fight after impressively knocking out Ben Saunders and Josh Burkman back to back.

Stylewise, Patrick Cote is a jack-of-all-trades, master-of-none. He is a complete mixed martial artist who can do everything pretty well but excells nowhere. On top of that, he is extremely durable and can take a lot of damage. He was only ever knocked out by Anderson Silva and Donald Cerrone, who are both known to hit extremely hard.

Thiago Alves is a muay thai specialist with sub-par takedown defence that was often exposed against good wrestlers (Jon Fitch, Rick Story, Georges Saint Pierre). Stylewise, I think this match-up suits Alves very well. I don’t think Cote has the wrestling to take him down and the top control to keep him down. Standing, Thiago Alves should have a big edge on Cote. I expect Alves to beat Cote in the standup easily throughout the match but not having enough power to put him away. Therefore I see Alves winning by decision.

Currently, William Hill offers 3.75 for Thiago Alves to win by decision which I think is a good value bet and is worth 6 units (6/10). You can sign up at William Hill to make this bet by clicking on the banner below (for which you may need to disable your ad-blocker).