Good old Diego Sanchez is fighting tonight against Al Iaquinta, who is coming back from a layoff of two years.

Let’s start with Diego Sanchez, who comes from a good victory over Marcin Held at altitute in Mexico where he naturally is good because of his training camp in New Mexico with Greg Jackson. Sanchez isn’t super impressive anywhere technicall, but always comes with good pressure and is a pretty versatile fighter with decent takedowns, good top control and ok boxing. His relies on volume and going forward and has won quite a few questionable decisions with that fighting style as judges apparantly like that he keeps going forward. On top of this, Sanches is extremely durable and can take a shitload of punishment. He was only ever stopped by prime BJ Penn (when BJ was a legit killer) after the doctor’s stopped for the fight and recently was TKO’d by Joe Lauzon in round 1. Now Joe Lauzon is known for his round 1 blitzes and that’s nothing to be ashamed of really.

Al Iaquinta is a pretty good modern MMA fighter who is versatile and cross-trained in all disciplines. Stylewise I think he can be compared a bit to Chris Weidman, who also trains at the the same. He has good wrestling and decent hands with improving boxing. He has knocked out a couple of opponents in his past fights but none of them were really known for having iron chins.

For this match, I think Iaquinta will want to keep it generally standing and outpick Diego Sanchez and maybe mix it up with takedowns a little bit. Sanchez will come forward like a madman and try and grind/wall and stall to a decision. I think however that Iaquinta’s takedown defence and wrestling are too good and his boxing is just too crisp for Sanchez. I don’t think Iaquinta has the power though to put Sanchez away who is extremely though.

I see huge, huge value in Al Iaquinta to win on points @ 2.5 (3/2 in fractional odds) with Betfred and recommend playing that bet 10/10 (which should be equal to ~5% of your betting bankroll). You can sign up with Betfred by clicking here and also profit from their sign up bonus (note: you might need to disable your addblocker for this).