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UFC Fight Night 108: Al Iaquinta vs Diego Sanchez preview and betting tips

Good old Diego Sanchez is fighting tonight against Al Iaquinta, who is coming back from a layoff of two years.

Let’s start with Diego Sanchez, who comes from a good victory over Marcin Held at altitute in Mexico where he naturally is good because of his training camp in New Mexico with Greg Jackson. Sanchez isn’t super impressive anywhere technicall, but always comes with good pressure and is a pretty versatile fighter with decent takedowns, good top control and ok boxing. His relies on volume and going forward and has won quite a few questionable decisions with that fighting style as judges apparantly like that he keeps going forward. On top of this, Sanches is extremely durable and can take a shitload of punishment. He was only ever stopped by prime BJ Penn (when BJ was a legit killer) after the doctor’s stopped for the fight and recently was TKO’d by Joe Lauzon in round 1. Now Joe Lauzon is known for his round 1 blitzes and that’s nothing to be ashamed of really.

Al Iaquinta is a pretty good modern MMA fighter who is versatile and cross-trained in all disciplines. Stylewise I think he can be compared a bit to Chris Weidman, who also trains at the the same. He has good wrestling and decent hands with improving boxing. He has knocked out a couple of opponents in his past fights but none of them were really known for having iron chins.

For this match, I think Iaquinta will want to keep it generally standing and outpick Diego Sanchez and maybe mix it up with takedowns a little bit. Sanchez will come forward like a madman and try and grind/wall and stall to a decision. I think however that Iaquinta’s takedown defence and wrestling are too good and his boxing is just too crisp for Sanchez. I don’t think Iaquinta has the power though to put Sanchez away who is extremely though.

I see huge, huge value in Al Iaquinta to win on points @ 2.5 (3/2 in fractional odds) with Betfred and recommend playing that bet 10/10 (which should be equal to ~5% of your betting bankroll). You can sign up with Betfred by clicking here and also profit from their sign up bonus (note: you might need to disable your addblocker for this).

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UFC on FOX 24 betting tips: Alexander Volkov vs Roy Nelson

This is a relative close match up in my opinion between two very experienced fighters. Roy Nelson of course is a very well known name having fought in the UFC for years. He is mainly known for being extremely tough to finish and having huge power in his hands. Technically he is not superb and not extremely fast, but his warrior attitude and power (as well as his looks) make him a famous name.

Volkov is the less known fighter in this bout, having spent most of his career in Bellator and the Russian M1 promotion. Volkov is a huge heavyweight (201 cm or 6 feet 7 inches) and uses this in his advantage. He has a 20 cm advantage in height over Nelson and a 20 cm (9 inch) advantage in reach too. I think he will use this huge advantage against Nelson but not having enough power to finish Roy Nelson.

I see huge value in Volkov by decision @ 3.25 with William Hill and recommend playing a big bet (8 units) on it. You can sign up for William Hill by clicking on the banner below (for which you might need to disable your adblocker for this page).

European Championship betting: Top goalscorer

With the leagues having finished, it is time to start the betting focus on the European Championship. I will in this post discuss the Top goalscorer market, which I believe holds two interesting betting opportunities. Both consider countries that have had some surprises in their selections. The first one is France: probably their best striker, Karim Benzema was not selected for the squad as he was involved in a scandal concerning attempted extortion of Mathieu Valbuena. This will mean that Olivier Giroud is now their first choice up front, and odds of 21 (20/1) at Betfair sportsbook make him a very interesting betting opportunity.

The second interesting case is Spain. Diego Costa was expected to be their first choice striker, but he wasn’t selected by Del Bosque. Instead, Alvaro Morata is now their expected main choice, and is able to bet on at odds of 27 (26/1) at Betfair’s betting exchange.

Both of these odds are in my opinion too high and represent value, odds of over 20 for strikers of 2 of the best teams in the European Championship hold value, and I therefore advice making the following bets on the European Championship top goalscorer market:

  • A small-to-medium bet (3/10) on Alvaro Morata top goalscorer @ 27 (26/1) on Betfair exchange.
  • A small bet (2/10) on Olivier Giroud top goalscorer (and the each way for a bet on top 4) @ 21 (20/1) with Betfair sportsbook.

Signing up with Betfair is easy and can be done by simply clicking on the image below (make sure to disable ad-blockers in order to see the banner). This will even give you 30 GBP/EUR worth of free bets!

 

Preview and betting tips: Stoke – Everton

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Stoke played a terrible game away at Old Trafford in their last outing. They really seemed to miss Shawcross in defence and should’ve done much better against Manchester United’s poor strikeforce. Offensively, they were not able to do much against United but United’s defense is usually pretty good so this is not a huge shame.

Everton did well and easily disposed Newcastle at home. They had a good game and won comfortably without too much trouble

Then today’s game: both teams have quite some problems in defence. Stoke will miss Cameron and Shawcross while Everton will be without John Stones and goalkeeper Howard. While Romelu Lukaku has had some problems with his back last week, he is expected to play today as Roberto Martinez has already said he is getting fit again and did well in training. On Stoke’s side, Shaqiri is also completely fit again. Under these circumstances I expect goals today and therefore recommend placing a medium sized bet (5/10) on Over 2.5 goals @ Evens (2.00) with Betfred. 

You can sign up with Betfred by clicking here.

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