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After starting out the season in spectacular fashion, Leicester seems to be losing their explosive touch over the last couple of games. The amount of goals they get is getting lower. This is reflected in the amount of shots they get on target in recent games (2 against Spurs, 2 against Bournemouth, 4 against City). This isn’t really surprising considering the fact that they were overperforming all season, I think it is simply time for them now that they drop a few places to get back to the place in the league where they would (quality wise) belong.
Villa’s main problems in my opinion are in their attack and not so much in their defence. Especially when Lescott and Richards play together they look pretty solid and are capable of not having to concede a lot of big chances. Up front, only Carles Gil looks like he could do some danger to opposition’s defence. The rest of their attacking midfielders and attackers simply just seems to be able to do real damage.
Tactically, I expect Villa to sit back and defence against Leicester, they don’t ‘need’ to win this game and therefore I don’t expect them to take risks (like against Sunderland where they then conceded 3). Personally, I think this will be a pretty boring game with a lot of midfield action and not so much chances (and therefore goals). I recommend playing a medium bet (5/10) on Under 2.5 goals @ 13/20 (1.65), offered by a lot of bookmakers currently including William Hill and Bwin.